Markets

OPEC Optimism vs. IEA Concerns: Diverging Oil Demand and Supply Forecasts for 2024.

Recent analyses by Macquarie and Standard Chartered Bank highlight cautious outlooks for the oil market amidst geopolitical tensions and economic factors.

Recent data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reveals a significant swing in crude stockpiles, with a build of 7.3MM bbl. for the week to Apr. 26, contrasting sharply with the previous week's draw.

Recent developments in the oil market have shown a marked increase in speculative trading, fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The US Energy Information Administration, the International Energy Agency, and OPEC provide insights into global oil demand trends.

UK consultancy Wood Mackenzie highlighted significant risks facing the global oil refining industry, with over 20% of the global refining capacity at risk of closure.

Brent crude surged above $85/bbl propelled by multiple factors including dwindling US inventories, an optimistic outlook from the IEA, and disruptions to Russian oil facilities by Ukrainian drones.

OPEC maintains its optimistic stance on oil demand growth, projecting a steady increase for this year and beyond, driven primarily by China, India, and the Middle East.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) has revised its forecast for Brent crude oil prices, anticipating an average of $87/b for this year and $85/b for the next.

Oil prices are displaying resilience, marked by a second consecutive monthly gain as OPEC+ extends supply curbs until Q2 2024, contributing to WTI's substantial $7/b increase in Feb.